Bookies Suggest Top Republican Candidates are Biggest Winners of Biden’s First Year in Office

–Trump, DeSantis Improve in Presidential Odds Markets while Biden, Harris Worsen–

Donald Trump’s odds to win the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election have improved significantly since Joe Biden and Kamala Harris were inaugurated, according to betting aggregators US-Bookies.com (See Disclaimer Below). Since January 20, 2021, Trump’s 2024 odds shifted from 10/1 (9.1% implied probability) to 3/1 (25%), where he’s now the favorite to win the election. 

“A few days after the scenes at the Capitol, Donald Trump’s odds to win the 2024 election were noticeably worse than Joe Biden’s and Kamala Harris’, but that has since changed after the administration’s first year in office,”  says a US-Bookies spokesperson. “Since Biden and Harris were inaugurated, Trump surpassed both in the betting markets to become the sole favorite to win in 2024.” 

Since Biden and Harris were inaugurated, Trump surpassed both in the betting markets to become the sole favorite to win 2024.

Joe Biden’s and Kamala Harris’ odds to win the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election have worsened following the administration’s first year in office. Upon being inaugurated, Biden and Harris were tied as the 4/1 favorites to win the 2024 election (20% implied probability), but Biden now sits at 9/2 (18.2%) and Harris at 7/1 (12.5%).

“Following the Biden-Harris administration’s first year in office, Republicans have noticed the most favorable movements in the 2024 presidential betting markets,” says a US-Bookies spokesperson. “Meanwhile, the only Democrat whose odds became stronger is Pete Buttigieg.”  

Ron DeSantis’ odds to win the 2024 election also improved from 66/1 (1.5% implied probability) to 8/1 (11.1%) since January 20, 2021. He now has the fourth best odds to be elected, and he’s followed by Nikki Haley and Pete Buttigieg, who are tied at 20/1 (4.8%). Buttigieg’s odds improved from 50/1 (2%) since Inauguration Day, while Haley’s worsened from 16/1 (5.9%).

Odds to win 2024 U.S. Presidential Election: 

January 7, 2022January 20, 2021
Donald Trump3/110/1
Joe Biden9/24/1
Kamala Harris7/14/1
Ron DeSantis8/166/1
Nikki Haley20/116/1
Pete Buttigieg 20/150/1
Mike Pence25/112/1

Disclaimer: The odds posted in this article are for illustrative purposes only, as wagering on such props is not currently legal in any U.S. state. The data was based on betting markets offered by UK/European/worldwide operators regulated in jurisdictions where wagering on these props is legal.

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