–McAuliffe’s Odds Improved Over Weekend Following Debate, Youngkin’s Worsened–
Terry McAuliffe’s odds to win 2021 Virginia Gubernatorial Election improved following the first debate, according to betting aggregators US-Bookies (See Disclaimer Below). On Thursday morning, McAuliffe was the 3/10 (76.9% implied probability) favorite to win the election, and his have since improved to 2/7 (77.8%).
Glenn Youngkin’s odds followed the opposite path. Heading into the debate, he had 3/1 odds to win the election (25%), but he worsened to 16/5 (23.8%) over the weekend.
“The shifts haven’t been too significant following the first debate, but the fact that McAuliffe did strengthen his lead suggests that he was the winner in the bookies’ eyes,” says a US-Bookies spokesperson. “Given that betting data recently predicted the California recall more accurately than the polls, this movement in the odds should be more assuring for McAuliffe.”
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According to a recent Monmouth University poll, McAuliffe holds a 48% to 43% lead over Youngkin. However, betting odds show that McAuliffe has a much stronger 77.8% to 23.8% lead.
Odds to Win 2021 Virginia Gubernatorial Election (Parentheses Indicate Odds on September 29, 2021:
Terry McAuliffe: 2/7 (3/10)
Glenn Youngkin: 16/5 (3/1)
Disclaimer: The odds posted in this article are for illustrative purposes only, as wagering on such props is not currently legal in any U.S. state. The data was based on betting markets offered by UK/European/worldwide operators regulated in jurisdictions where wagering on these props is legal.