Political Betting Odds Are Higher on McAuliffe Than Polls

–Youngkin’s Odds Reach Strongest Point Yet, But McAuliffe Still Favored to Win–

Terry McAuliffe’s lead in Virginia Gubernatorial Election has weakened since last week, according to betting aggregators US-Bookies.com (See Disclaimer Below). His odds to win the election have worsened from to 2/7 (77.8% implied probability) to 9/20 (69%) since October 19. Glenn Youngkin’s have improved from 11/4 (26.7%) to 17/10 (37%) in the same timeframe. 

“Despite his odds improving and worsening throughout the month, Terry McAuliffe has held the position of odds-on favorite for some time,” says a US-Bookies spokesperson. “While Glenn Youngkin is building momentum and closing the gap, he’s still the less likely to win in the bookies’ eyes.” 

A recent Monmouth University poll suggests McAuliffe and Youngkin are currently tied in the race after McAuliffe held a five-point lead in September. While betting odds do forecast a closer race than what was shown in September, the odds still give McAuliffe the clear lead. 

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“Barack Obama hit the campaign trail in support of McAuliffe, but it appears that the former president’s efforts have not led to improvements for the Democratic candidate,” says a US-Bookies spokesperson. “McAuliffe’s odds are now at their worst point since September, while Youngkin’s are at their best.” 

Odds to Win 2021 Virginia Gubernatorial Election:

Odds on October 24, 2021Odds on October 19, 2021Odds on October 12, 2021Odds on October 4, 2021Odds on September 29, 2021
Terry McAuliffe9/20 (-222)2/7 (-350)2/5 (-250)2/7 (-350)3/10 (-333)
Glenn Youngkin17/10 (+170)11/4 (+275)2/1 (+200)16/5 (+320)3/1 (+300)

Disclaimer: The odds posted in this article are for illustrative purposes only, as wagering on such props is not currently legal in any U.S. state. The data was based on betting markets offered by UK/European/worldwide operators regulated in jurisdictions where wagering on these props is legal.

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