Ciattarelli Notices Slight Improvement In Political Betting Markets, But Murphy Still Holds Strong Lead

–Odds Say Bridget Kelly Unlikely to Win Bergen County Clerk Election–

Jack Ciattarelli’s odds to win the 2021 New Jersey Gubernatorial Election have improved slightly in the last two weeks, according to betting aggregators (See Disclaimer Below). Since October 13, Ciattarelli’s odds improved from 12/1 (7.7% implied probability) to 9/1 (10%). However, Phil Murphy’s odds have remained at 1/20 during this time (95.2%). 

“Phil Murphy’s odds to be re-elected have improved since the end of September, strengthening his position as the odds-on favorite to win the 2021 election,” says a US-Bookies spokesperson. “Jack Ciattarelli’s odds have improved over the last two weeks, but they still aren’t as good as they were at the end of September, meaning this momentum may be coming a little too late for his campaign.” 

The latest Emerson College poll listed Murphy with a six-point lead over Ciattarelli, which is the smallest lead the incumbent has had since May, according to polling data. Despite Ciattarelli’s recent improvements, Murphy still holds a wide lead in betting figures, with the odds giving him a lead of 95.2% to 10%. 

John Hogan is the odds-on favorite to win Bergen Country Clerk election. With 1/4 odds to win (80% implied probability), he holds a considerable lead over Bridget Kelly, who holds 18/5 odds to win (21.7%). 

“John Hogan is the clear favorite to win the Bergen County Clerk election,” says a US-Bookies spokesperson. “With Bridget Kelly’s attachment to the Bridgegate scandal, it’s not surprising to see she doesn’t have a strong chance at winning this election.”

Odds to Win 2021 New Jersey Gubernatorial Election:

Odds on October 25Odds After Second Debate (October 13)Odds Before Second Debate (October 12)Odds After First Debate (September 29)Odds Before First Debate (September 28)Odds on August 29
Phil Murphy1/20 (-2000)1/20 (-2000)1/20 (-2000)1/10 (-1000)2/9 (-450)1/10 (-1000)
Jack Ciattarelli9/1 (+900)12/1 (+1200)12/1 (+1200)7/1 (+700)4/1 (+400)13/2 (+650)

Odds to Win 2021 Bergen County Clerk Election:

John Hogan: 1/4 (-400)

Bridget Kelly: 18/5 (+360)

Disclaimer: The odds posted in this article are for illustrative purposes only, as wagering on such props is not currently legal in any U.S. state. The data was based on betting markets offered by UK/European/worldwide operators regulated in jurisdictions where wagering on these props is legal.

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